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Red81
10328.9
218016.9
249520.5
Blue17
87071.6
201614.7
219114.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56270204060808117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#3
28.93.2
18.822.0
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End0.8
red by 14.1
14.81.5
9.68.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Second
20.53.2
15.118.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.7
End2.0
red by 5.8
2016
#12
14.71.5
10.99.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Third
16.93.2
13.016.2
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.5
red by 15.3
8707
#26
1.61.5
7.86.3
Auto0.8
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed