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Red44
86288.6
55519.2
901513.2
Blue46
457313.3
201614.7
56247.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4640102030506070804446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#4
19.20.1
19.119.2
Auto9.4
Teleop9.1
End0.7
red by 4.5
2016
#12
14.70.2
15.014.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Second
9015
#13
13.20.1
13.013.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.5
blue by 0.2
4573
#10
13.30.2
13.613.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.9
Third
8628
#22
8.60.1
8.58.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End0.1
red by 0.8
5624
#18
7.80.2
8.17.9
Auto1.1
Teleop5.9
End0.8