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Red49
2514.9
56669.9
46537.9
Blue40
901513.2
55519.2
68974.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35420102030506070804940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#15
14.90.0
14.714.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.0
blue by 4.4
555
#4
19.20.1
19.219.2
Auto9.4
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Second
5666
#11
9.90.1
9.99.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End0.8
blue by 3.3
9015
#13
13.20.1
13.113.2
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Third
4653
#24
7.90.0
7.77.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End0.6
red by 3.1
6897
#23
4.70.1
4.74.7
Auto3.2
Teleop0.9
End0.7