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Red84
179645.5
3698.7
69428.4
Blue65
589537.7
5618.0
253935.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91104204060801201401608465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.3
45.845.5
Auto15.0
Teleop25.6
End4.9
red by 7.8
37.70.6
38.337.7
Auto16.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
Second
694
#2
28.40.3
28.728.4
Auto5.8
Teleop19.9
End2.8
blue by 7.0
35.40.6
36.035.4
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End6.3
Third
369
#34
8.70.3
9.08.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
blue by 9.4
56
#30
18.00.6
18.718.0
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End1.7