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Red50
77304.5
10216.1
314216.7
Blue41
2510.0
249519.7
16725.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464520304050605041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.2
18.018.1
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End0.6
blue by 2.9
2495
#24
19.71.1
19.118.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Second
102
#9DQ
16.10.2
16.216.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.3
End0.7
red by 6.1
25
#36
10.01.1
12.911.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End1.2
Third
7730
#22
4.50.2
6.36.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 0.8
1672
#26
5.31.1
9.18.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed