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Red21
3698.7
599214.6
436111.1
Blue77
249519.7
253935.4
3032.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386802060801001201401602177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5992
#33
14.61.1
16.014.9
Auto7.4
Teleop6.9
End0.3
blue by 20.8
35.40.3
38.138.5
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End6.3
Second
4361
#23
11.11.1
12.111.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.3
blue by 8.6
2495
#24
19.70.3
18.018.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Third
369
#34
8.71.1
9.58.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
red by 5.8
303
#29
2.90.3
1.72.1
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed54%Ensemble oddsEarned