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Red63
45759.1
180736.7
68978.8
Blue81
7518.4
249519.7
139129.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587301001506381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#11
36.70.2
36.536.7
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End2.4
red by 7.2
1391
#20
29.50.4
28.528.9
Auto8.9
Teleop18.8
End1.8
Second
4575
#15
9.10.2
8.99.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.3
blue by 10.6
2495
#24
19.70.4
18.619.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Third
8.80.2
8.68.8
Auto7.5
Teleop1.6
End-0.4
blue by 9.6
75
#6
18.40.4
17.417.7
Auto10.7
Teleop5.8
End1.9