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Red95
139129.5
249519.7
7518.4
Blue101
167634.3
691120.7
363715.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727705010015020095101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#20
29.50.7
28.929.5
Auto8.9
Teleop18.8
End1.8
blue by 4.8
34.30.4
34.134.5
Auto12.7
Teleop17.0
End4.6
Second
2495
#24
19.70.7
19.019.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End2.4
blue by 1.1
6911
#16
20.70.4
20.520.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Third
75
#6
18.40.7
17.718.4
Auto10.7
Teleop5.8
End1.9
red by 3.4
3637
#21
15.00.4
14.815.2
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End1.1