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Red111
589537.7
5618.0
253935.4
Blue33
167634.3
691120.7
363715.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11276020406010012014016011133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.2
39.639.7
Auto16.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
red by 3.4
34.30.9
35.234.2
Auto12.7
Teleop17.0
End4.6
Second
35.40.2
37.337.5
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End6.3
red by 14.7
6911
#16
20.70.9
21.620.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Third
56
#30
18.00.2
20.020.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End1.7
red by 3.1
3637
#21
15.00.9
15.814.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End1.1