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Red65
54571.7
36522.2
115521.7
Blue30
99998.4
434221.7
87141.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665002040801001201401606530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#19
22.20.0
25.825.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.2
End2.4
red by 0.5
4342
#24
21.71.6
31.029.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Second
1155
#15
21.70.0
26.026.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 13.3
9999
#11
8.42.6
10.37.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Third
5457
#13
1.70.0
6.06.0
Auto2.6
Teleop-1.1
End0.3
red by 0.3
8714
#22
1.41.6
5.43.8
Auto3.1
Teleop-3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed