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Red6
457511.9
260726.9
54571.7
Blue101
901526.3
48416.0
417.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55480204060801006101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#14
26.92.8
30.127.3
Auto9.9
Teleop14.1
End2.9
red by 0.6
26.32.3
23.926.3
Auto10.8
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Second
4575
#20
11.92.8
14.611.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 4.2
484
#2
16.02.3
14.016.4
Auto6.6
Teleop6.7
End2.7
Third
5457
#13
1.72.8
3.70.9
Auto2.6
Teleop-1.1
End0.3
blue by 6.1
41
#21
7.92.3
5.98.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsEarned