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Red16
704513.4
87141.4
741415.2
Blue70
253942.6
457511.9
99998.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457601001501670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7414
#18
15.21.9
23.221.3
Auto7.9
Teleop6.9
End0.4
blue by 27.3
42.60.4
41.441.0
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End5.5
Second
7045
#25
13.41.9
17.615.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End2.0
red by 1.6
4575
#20
11.90.4
14.914.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Third
8714
#22
1.41.9
3.81.9
Auto3.1
Teleop-3.1
End1.5
blue by 7.0
9999
#11
8.40.7
7.77.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned