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Red90
253942.6
22653.4
192330.0
Blue53
121825.5
87141.4
115521.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions854902040601001201401609053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.4
41.541.9
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End5.5
red by 17.1
25.50.1
25.425.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End4.2
Second
30.00.4
29.029.4
Auto8.2
Teleop18.8
End3.0
red by 8.3
1155
#15
21.70.1
21.621.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Third
2265
#23
3.40.4
2.32.7
Auto0.6
Teleop2.4
End0.4
red by 1.9
8714
#22
1.40.1
1.31.4
Auto3.1
Teleop-3.1
End1.5