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Red65
164025.4
54571.7
36522.2
Blue67
121825.5
87141.4
115521.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535120304060706567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.4
24.625.0
Auto9.5
Teleop13.9
End2.0
Level
25.50.3
25.225.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End4.2
Second
365
#19
22.20.4
21.321.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.2
End2.4
red by 0.5
1155
#15
21.70.3
21.421.7
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Third
5457
#13
1.70.4
0.91.3
Auto2.6
Teleop-1.1
End0.3
red by 0.3
8714
#22
1.40.3
1.11.4
Auto3.1
Teleop-3.1
End1.5