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Red38
48416.0
417.9
55521.4
Blue74
901526.3
540119.8
457511.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496601001502003874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#12
21.40.2
21.621.4
Auto9.9
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 4.9
26.30.1
26.226.3
Auto10.8
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Second
484
#2
16.00.2
16.216.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.7
End2.7
blue by 3.8
5401
#16
19.80.1
19.719.8
Auto12.0
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Third
41
#21
7.90.2
8.17.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End1.5
blue by 4.0
4575
#20
11.90.1
11.711.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End1.7