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Red70
115521.7
87141.4
121825.5
Blue57
901526.3
540119.8
457511.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506702040801001201401607057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.5
24.925.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End4.2
blue by 0.8
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto10.8
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Second
1155
#15
21.70.5
21.121.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 1.9
5401
#16
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto12.0
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Third
8714
#22
1.40.5
0.81.3
Auto3.1
Teleop-3.1
End1.5
blue by 10.4
4575
#20
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End1.7