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Red27
85885.2
80755.2
436116.8
Blue11
167625.1
94244.9
94394.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27320204060801002711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.4
12.211.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
blue by 8.3
25.12.5
15.813.3
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End3.1
Second
8075
#19
5.20.4
5.44.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End0.2
red by 0.3
9424
#32
4.92.5
4.41.9
Auto0.6
Teleop2.8
End1.5
Third
8588
#31
5.20.4
7.57.1
Auto1.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
red by 0.3
9439
#33
4.92.5
8.45.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed