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Red46
121819.2
851321.1
436116.8
Blue29
181116.8
573210.6
85885.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4928010204060704629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.4
12.312.8
Auto8.8
Teleop7.6
End4.6
red by 4.2
1811
#13
16.80.2
12.312.4
Auto8.1
Teleop6.5
End2.3
Second
1218
#17
19.20.4
17.918.4
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6
red by 8.6
5732
#20
10.60.2
8.38.4
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Third
16.80.4
11.712.2
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
red by 11.6
8588
#31
5.20.2
7.17.2
Auto1.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed