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Red3
7514.9
33405.0
21919.9
Blue31
5614.4
56247.1
25778.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3737515253035331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#7
19.93.4
11.17.7
Auto11.6
Teleop7.5
End0.9
red by 5.6
56
#10
14.40.8
11.710.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Second
75
#14
14.93.4
12.79.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
red by 6.1
2577
#34
8.80.8
12.511.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Third
3340
#21
5.03.4
9.76.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.9
End1.9
blue by 2.1
5624
#22
7.10.8
9.38.4
Auto0.5
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed