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Red46
7514.9
181116.8
5614.4
Blue49
127917.1
1118.1
436116.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3643102030405060704649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#13
16.81.4
12.413.8
Auto8.1
Teleop6.5
End2.3
blue by 1.3
11
#3
18.10.6
13.013.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Second
75
#14
14.91.4
10.712.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
blue by 2.2
1279
#12
17.10.6
13.113.7
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Third
56
#10
14.41.4
10.612.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End1.4
blue by 2.4
16.80.6
12.212.8
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed