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Red49
851321.1
167625.1
54387.6
Blue47
94244.9
22319.4
7527.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482301030406070804947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.9
19.920.8
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End3.1
red by 5.7
223
#9
19.42.4
16.719.2
Auto9.2
Teleop9.3
End0.9
Second
21.10.9
15.316.3
Auto8.8
Teleop7.6
End4.6
red by 13.2
752
#24
7.92.4
5.78.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Third
5438
#28
7.60.9
4.95.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End1.3
red by 2.7
9424
#32
4.92.4
1.23.6
Auto0.6
Teleop2.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed