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Red34
181116.8
436116.8
911610.7
Blue49
22319.4
69456.0
851321.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3937203050603449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#13
16.80.7
10.910.2
Auto8.1
Teleop6.5
End2.3
blue by 4.2
21.11.5
11.212.7
Auto8.8
Teleop7.6
End4.6
Second
16.80.7
12.712.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
blue by 2.6
223
#9
19.41.5
12.914.4
Auto9.2
Teleop9.3
End0.9
Third
9116
#30
10.70.7
11.610.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End2.0
red by 4.7
6945
#29
6.01.5
9.410.9
Auto0.8
Teleop4.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed