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Red20
127917.1
69456.0
87047.3
Blue23
94394.9
85885.2
19310.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322301020405060702023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#12
17.10.7
14.213.4
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
red by 6.7
193
#16
10.40.4
10.810.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Second
8704
#26
7.30.7
7.46.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.3
red by 2.2
8588
#31
5.20.4
6.46.0
Auto1.1
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Third
6945
#29
6.00.7
6.55.7
Auto0.8
Teleop4.5
End0.7
red by 1.1
9439
#33
4.90.4
5.04.6
Auto1.4
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed