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Red25
1118.1
19310.4
33405.0
Blue64
436116.8
167625.1
167213.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346102040801002564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#3
18.10.7
18.517.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 7.0
25.10.8
23.424.2
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End3.1
Second
193
#16
10.40.7
10.49.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End1.3
blue by 6.4
16.80.8
15.716.5
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Third
3340
#21
5.00.7
5.04.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.9
End1.9
blue by 8.2
1672
#11
13.20.8
13.113.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned