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Red48
87047.3
436116.8
22220.8
Blue41
19310.4
121819.2
25778.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503802060801004841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#2
20.80.1
19.919.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.4
End1.4
red by 1.6
1218
#17
19.20.4
18.318.6
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Second
16.80.1
16.516.4
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End2.6
red by 6.4
193
#16
10.40.4
9.710.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Third
8704
#26
7.30.1
7.47.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.3
blue by 1.5
2577
#34
8.80.4
7.98.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed