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Red67
4111.0
127917.1
7514.9
Blue50
811712.4
22319.4
19310.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45472030405060706750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#12
17.10.3
16.316.6
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 2.3
223
#9
19.40.1
19.319.4
Auto9.2
Teleop9.3
End0.9
Second
75
#14
14.90.3
14.114.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
red by 2.5
12.40.1
12.312.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End0.2
Third
41
#25
11.00.3
10.210.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End0.2
red by 0.6
193
#16
10.40.1
10.310.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End1.3