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Red70
4111.0
127917.1
7514.9
Blue50
851321.1
573210.6
314218.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445720801007050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#12
17.10.4
16.617.0
Auto8.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 4.0
21.10.0
21.021.1
Auto8.8
Teleop7.6
End4.6
Second
75
#14
14.90.4
14.414.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
blue by 3.2
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto2.0
Teleop13.5
End2.6
Third
41
#25
11.00.4
10.510.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End0.2
red by 0.4
5732
#20
10.60.0
10.610.6
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End1.1