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Red65
121819.2
25778.8
1118.1
Blue49
167213.2
5614.4
601613.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504402060801006549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#17
19.20.3
18.518.9
Auto8.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6
red by 4.8
56
#10
14.40.1
14.314.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Second
11
#3
18.10.3
17.517.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 4.9
1672
#11
13.20.1
13.113.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Third
2577
#34
8.80.3
8.28.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 4.3
6016
#27
13.10.1
13.013.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End2.1