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Red47
46539.9
863010.4
436115.7
Blue30
25777.4
71417.0
40125.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45290204060801004730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#21
15.70.8
16.916.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End2.1
blue by 1.3
714
#16
17.00.7
17.817.1
Auto8.0
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Second
10.40.8
10.69.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End0.1
red by 3.0
7.40.7
6.55.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.3
End-0.0
Third
9.90.8
11.410.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End1.1
red by 4.2
4012
#10
5.60.7
4.13.4
Auto1.1
Teleop4.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned