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Red43
363721.6
704515.4
71417.0
Blue71
25777.4
314219.6
758713.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673502060801001204371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.6
23.121.5
Auto6.0
Teleop13.9
End1.7
red by 2.0
19.60.7
20.020.7
Auto6.1
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Second
714
#16
17.01.6
18.316.7
Auto8.0
Teleop6.3
End2.7
red by 3.6
13.50.7
10.311.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Third
7045
#12
15.41.6
15.714.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.7
red by 8.1
7.40.7
5.36.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsEarned