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Red42
31629.2
55516.4
85882.9
Blue22
36910.1
87142.8
46539.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5822040801001201404222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#11
29.20.5
28.828.3
Auto12.5
Teleop14.7
End2.0
red by 19.2
369
#14
10.11.1
10.39.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.1
Second
555
#17
16.40.5
15.815.3
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 6.5
9.91.1
10.99.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Third
8588
#23
2.90.5
3.32.8
Auto0.5
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Level
8714
#18
2.81.1
2.81.7
Auto3.3
Teleop-2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed1%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed