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Red42
704515.4
2513.5
863010.4
Blue15
46539.9
3032.6
55516.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242203050604215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7045
#12
15.40.3
14.514.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 0.9
555
#17
16.42.0
19.517.5
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Second
25
#22
13.50.3
13.013.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
red by 3.6
9.92.0
14.412.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Third
10.40.3
10.710.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End0.1
red by 7.8
303
#24
2.62.0
3.71.7
Auto0.5
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed