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Red66
85882.9
162925.9
36910.1
Blue58
758713.5
2513.5
81179.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423902060801001201401606658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.5
25.425.9
Auto14.4
Teleop10.7
End0.8
red by 12.4
25
#22
13.50.3
13.213.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Second
369
#14
10.10.5
9.510.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End0.1
blue by 3.4
13.50.3
13.213.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Third
8588
#23
2.90.5
2.42.9
Auto0.5
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 6.9
8117
#19
9.80.3
9.59.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End0.7