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Red71
127917.6
80753.2
31629.2
Blue30
363721.6
704515.4
68979.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5250102030406070807130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#11
29.20.3
28.128.4
Auto12.5
Teleop14.7
End2.0
red by 7.6
21.60.3
21.421.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Second
17.60.3
16.516.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
red by 2.2
7045
#12
15.40.3
15.214.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Third
8075
#20
3.20.3
2.12.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End-0.3
blue by 5.8
6897
#13
9.10.3
8.98.5
Auto6.6
Teleop2.5
End-0.1