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Red33
436115.7
25777.4
40125.6
Blue49
758713.5
2513.5
81179.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304102060801003349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#21
15.70.1
15.615.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End2.1
red by 2.2
25
#22
13.50.1
13.213.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Second
7.40.1
7.37.4
Auto2.1
Teleop5.3
End-0.0
blue by 6.1
13.50.1
13.113.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Third
4012
#10
5.60.1
5.55.6
Auto1.1
Teleop4.3
End0.2
blue by 4.1
8117
#19
9.80.1
9.49.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End0.7