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Red86
901517.7
3032.6
167638.4
Blue41
55516.4
71417.0
314219.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675902040801001201408641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.40.0
38.838.8
Auto12.8
Teleop20.0
End5.6
red by 18.8
19.60.3
20.019.7
Auto6.1
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Second
9015
#15
17.70.0
18.218.1
Auto7.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.1
red by 0.7
714
#16
17.00.3
17.417.1
Auto8.0
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Third
303
#24
2.60.0
3.03.0
Auto0.5
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
blue by 13.8
555
#17
16.40.3
16.716.4
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End1.7