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Red66
68977.8
22324.0
22224.3
Blue43
75876.9
331426.0
54906.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544701001502002503003506643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#2
24.30.1
23.022.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End2.3
blue by 1.7
26.00.5
23.122.6
Auto11.4
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Second
223
#8
24.00.1
18.017.9
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End1.6
red by 17.1
7587
#34
6.90.8
10.29.4
Auto4.6
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Third
6897
#26
7.80.1
7.27.1
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End0.4
red by 1.1
5490
#33
6.70.8
10.09.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed