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Red73
54576.0
108923.6
851327.6
Blue82
29321.3
711016.3
180730.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49622040801007382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.8
22.624.4
Auto10.2
Teleop12.0
End5.5
blue by 3.2
30.91.8
25.127.0
Auto11.0
Teleop18.2
End1.7
Second
23.61.8
18.420.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 2.4
293
#20
21.31.8
19.121.0
Auto11.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.1
Third
5457
#27
6.01.8
5.37.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 10.3
7110
#16
16.31.8
10.312.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed