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Red58
54576.0
114310.9
192330.3
Blue67
70817.3
108923.6
704517.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48563040607080905867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#12
30.30.2
30.931.1
Auto9.3
Teleop19.2
End1.7
red by 6.6
23.60.0
20.220.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Second
1143
#28
10.90.2
6.56.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End0.4
blue by 6.5
17.30.0
15.315.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Third
5457
#27
6.00.2
7.17.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 11.4
708
#11
17.30.0
14.414.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned