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Red60
911615.5
114310.9
108923.6
Blue54
543815.2
704517.3
22324.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4251102030607080906054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.8
20.220.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 0.4
223
#8
24.00.6
19.319.9
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End1.6
Second
9116
#17
15.50.8
11.812.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.5
End1.7
blue by 1.9
17.31.0
15.316.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Third
1143
#28
10.90.8
6.77.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End0.4
blue by 4.4
5438
#21
15.20.6
10.411.0
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed