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Red14
94244.7
75876.9
711016.3
Blue51
599216.5
81307.3
35157.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273802060801451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7110
#16
16.30.9
12.611.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.1
blue by 0.3
5992
#10
16.51.4
15.514.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End0.6
Second
7587
#34
6.91.5
7.86.2
Auto4.6
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 0.5
3515
#35
7.40.8
9.89.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.6
Third
9424
#31
4.70.9
5.54.6
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
blue by 2.6
8130
#29
7.30.8
8.17.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned