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Red45
68606.4
180730.9
543815.2
Blue90
704517.3
167629.9
331426.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477702040601001204590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.1
27.727.6
Auto11.0
Teleop18.2
End1.7
red by 1.0
1676
#14
29.91.2
29.130.3
Auto13.1
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Second
5438
#21
15.20.1
12.112.0
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 10.8
26.01.2
22.824.0
Auto11.4
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Third
6860
#23
6.40.1
6.46.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.8
End0.8
blue by 11.0
17.31.8
14.416.2
Auto6.4
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned