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Red38
94244.7
363717.9
29321.3
Blue50
80755.3
140326.7
114310.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473702060801003850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#20
21.30.2
20.320.1
Auto11.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.1
blue by 5.5
26.71.0
23.324.4
Auto9.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
Second
3637
#15
17.90.2
16.115.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End2.0
red by 7.0
1143
#28
10.91.0
7.98.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End0.4
Third
9424
#31
4.70.2
5.25.0
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
blue by 0.5
8075
#32
5.31.0
3.54.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed