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Red62
114310.9
29321.3
219116.2
Blue16
35157.4
54906.7
94244.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions541704060801006216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#20
21.31.2
20.121.2
Auto11.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.1
red by 13.9
3515
#35
7.40.2
7.67.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.6
Second
2191
#13
16.21.2
15.416.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7
red by 9.5
5490
#33
6.70.3
6.96.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Third
1143
#28
10.91.2
8.910.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End0.4
red by 6.1
9424
#31
4.70.2
5.04.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed