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Red76
331426.0
80755.3
180730.9
Blue70
140326.7
68977.8
12579.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694202060801001207670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.8
29.330.1
Auto11.0
Teleop18.2
End1.7
red by 4.2
26.70.2
24.424.6
Auto9.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
Second
26.00.8
25.726.4
Auto11.4
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 16.7
1257
#19
9.30.2
9.19.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.0
End0.7
Third
8075
#32
5.30.8
4.55.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End-0.0
blue by 2.5
6897
#26
7.80.2
7.67.8
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned