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Red70
543815.2
331426.0
219116.2
Blue76
140326.7
363717.9
10215.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6463506070807076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto11.4
Teleop12.1
End2.5
blue by 0.7
26.70.4
25.926.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.6
End1.1
Second
2191
#13
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7
blue by 1.7
3637
#15
17.90.4
17.117.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Third
5438
#21
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 0.1
102
#30
15.30.4
14.514.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End1.2