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Red70
36520.7
164024.3
692119.4
Blue11
87214.6
20310.7
511310.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49330204060807011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.32.8
15.818.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 13.6
203
#20
10.72.3
14.512.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Second
365
#1
20.72.8
15.418.2
Auto6.2
Teleop12.3
End2.2
red by 10.5
5113
#17
10.22.3
9.47.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Third
6921
#13
19.42.8
11.414.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
red by 14.8
8721
#27
4.62.3
8.15.8
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed