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Red48
31628.8
81309.4
27216.4
Blue56
68605.7
692119.4
272016.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52350204060804856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#9
28.80.3
19.820.1
Auto14.8
Teleop13.0
End1.0
red by 9.4
6921
#13
19.40.8
15.716.5
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
Second
272
#10
16.40.3
16.116.4
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End3.2
blue by 0.4
16.90.8
11.612.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.2
Third
8130
#15
9.40.3
9.39.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.2
red by 3.7
6860
#24
5.70.8
6.77.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed