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Red37
71411.3
711010.7
511310.2
Blue73
164713.5
31628.8
272221.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194801030406070803773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
714
#18
11.30.7
5.15.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.0
blue by 17.5
316
#9
28.83.6
20.123.8
Auto14.8
Teleop13.0
End1.0
Second
7110
#12
10.70.7
9.410.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End2.4
blue by 10.7
21.43.6
13.517.2
Auto7.6
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Third
5113
#17
10.20.7
5.86.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 3.3
13.53.6
6.610.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed