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Red26
81309.4
54574.8
17125.2
Blue62
272016.9
511310.2
32118.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143060802662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8130
#15
9.41.7
8.87.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 8.8
321
#3
18.21.8
17.319.1
Auto6.7
Teleop11.1
End0.3
Second
5.21.7
8.66.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End0.9
blue by 11.6
16.91.8
12.414.1
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.2
Third
5457
#21
4.81.7
4.12.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End0.2
blue by 5.4
5113
#17
10.21.8
6.68.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed